“Plura sunt, Lucili, quae nos terrent quam quae premunt, et saepius opinione quam re laboramus.”
“There are more things, Lucilius, likely to frighten us than there are to crush us; we suffer more often in imagination than in reality.”
— Seneca, Moral Letters to Lucilius, 13.4
Seneca noticed that imagination exceeds reality in suffering. He didn't note — or didn't record — that the same mechanism works in the opposite direction, with equal brutality: imagination also exceeds reality in desire. The things we picture as delicious, as desirable, as finally-attainable — rarely match what actually arrives on the spoon.
This isn't accident. It's mechanism. And it has three independent, well-documented sources.
The spoon
I'd waited eighteen years to taste caviar. Like anything that lives in the head too long, it had accumulated meaning that bore no relation to what caviar actually is.
When it finally landed on the spoon — a small heap of black beads — I immediately understood the matter was banal. Salty aftertaste, mildly metallic, texture somewhere between cheese and fat. Nothing of what my imagination had promised for nearly two decades.
I much prefer kaszanka. (A Polish blood sausage — plain, dark, honest.)
I can say this now because I have evidence. For eighteen years I couldn't — not because my palate was less refined, but because I had no data. Preference reveals itself in the mouth, not in the head.
For anyone within hospitality — a chef, a manager, an owner — this distinction is foundational. We base decisions on imagined taste, imagined atmosphere, imagined direction. These images rarely map precisely onto what a guest actually experiences on a Saturday night at 9:30. The problem is that few know why, and fewer still know what to do about it.
I want to describe three mechanisms that explain this gap, and one practical rule that follows.
Mechanism 1
George Loewenstein, a behavioral economist at Carnegie Mellon, described in the mid-90s a phenomenon he called the hot/cold empathy gap. Simply: in a “cold” state — calm, satiated, un-aroused — we systematically fail to predict how we'll behave in a “hot” state — hungry, aroused, emotional.
The experiment: people in a fed state plan modest grocery purchases. The same people, hungry, buy twice as much — especially sweets and fats. The cold version of me cannot imagine what the hot version will do.
It works in reverse too. My cold image of caviar — “elegant delicacy” — gave me no access to the hot information from my palate: “it's salty, it's uninteresting, I prefer kaszanka.” Eighteen years of imagining didn't move me a millimeter closer to actual preference. One spoonful moved me the whole distance.
Loewenstein and his collaborators demonstrated this gap not only in hunger — but in consumer decisions, pain evaluation, addiction, sexual behavior. The same pattern everywhere: the cold state systematically underestimates the intensity of the hot state.
Takeaway: a menu designed in a cold conference room at 11 a.m., without hunger, without crowd noise, without music — is not the menu a guest will eat in a hot state at 9:30 p.m. The hot/cold gap explains why concepts that sound brilliant in brainstorming fail at the pass. We design in a state the guest will never be in.
Mechanism 2
Antonio Damasio, a Portuguese-American neurologist, described in Descartes' Error (1994) what he called the somatic marker hypothesis . Elliot, one of his patients, had sustained damage to the ventromedial prefrontal cortex- the part of the brain involved in connecting emotional, social, and cognitive processing - following surgery to remove a brain tumour. Although Elliot retained much of his intelligence, memory, and language ability, he was severely impaired in personal and social decision-making: he could analyse options with great precision, yet would deliberate for weeks without reaching a decision. Damasio argued that this showed that emotional signals, or “somatic markers,” are essential for narrowing down options and guiding rational choice.
Why? Because a decision requires not only logic — it requires a body saying “this is good, this is bad.” Somatic markers are fast, bodily signals (tension in the stomach, warmth, aversive taste) accumulated from past experience, which the body “attaches” to options at the moment of choice. Without them, every option looks equally neutral — and the choice becomes impossible or arbitrary.
In later work, Damasio showed that patients with damage to this specific area don't lose intelligence — they lose the capacity to learn emotionally from mistakes. They can make the same bad financial choice for the tenth time, knowing its consequences exactly. What's gone? The somatic discomfort that normally makes us hesitate.
What this means practically: a preference you haven't processed with the body doesn't exist as a preference. It exists as a hypothesis. A spoonful of caviar builds a marker. Eighteen years of imagining does not.
For the restaurateur: the best operational decisions come from the chef who has spent hundreds of hours in service — the body knows what works. The best strategic decisions come from the owner who has run a shift himself, worked a section, listened to a complaint in the sixth hour of a Saturday rush. Somatic markers cannot be delegated. You can delegate observation and reports. But the signal from the gut — that doesn't translate into a spreadsheet.
Mechanism 3
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, in Antifragile (2012), called it via negativa — an old principle which contemporary marketing systematically works against. Wisdom isn't about adding more desires — it's about eliminating the ones that have turned out not to be yours.
Taleb gives a medical example: removing a harmful habit (smoking, sugar, sedentary life) yields greater statistical health gain than adding any new supplement. In ethics — the Hippocratic primum non nocere outranks any positive imperative. In engineering — the fortress is defined by its walls, not its corridors.
In preference: the via negativa of taste. I've tried caviar — I can cross it off the list of “things I desire in life.” The list shortens, the desire sharpens. One spoonful erased eighteen years of uncertainty.
Taleb argues that in a life of limited time and energy, every item we eliminate from “things I still have to try” is a win. It frees up time for what we already know is ours. Most people confuse this with resignation. It isn't resignation — it's sharpening.
For hospitality: the menu you develop should be defined as much by what you don't serve as by what you do. The concept you build — by who you don't want to serve. The career you design — by what you already know doesn't taste right.
Your gut has read the report
The hot/cold gap, somatic markers, and via negativa are not three independent theories; they are three descriptions of the same phenomenon, seen from different sides of the table.
The body knows more than the mind can imagine. Experience generates a kind of knowledge that no amount of thinking about experience can provide. Each of these three researchers speaks in his own language, but all of them point to the same gap.
For people built on thinking—and most operational leaders are—this is a hard lesson. We tend to trust analysis, planning, and projection. We want to predict. We want to decide before, not during. We want to have knowledge before stepping into risk.
The problem is that certain kinds of knowledge are available only on the other side of risk. One spoonful can erase a week of analysis. That may be psychologically uneconomical, but physically, it is the cheapest option.
Why hospitality teaches this best
There's something this industry has that most industries lack in such density. Hospitality has no patience for imagination. Every element — dish, service, atmosphere — must either win the guest or lose them in a matter of seconds. There is no room for “it was supposed to be different.”
That's why a cook who has spent ten years on the line knows preferences — his own and guests' — better than a marketer earning four times his salary. His knowledge doesn't come from projection — it comes from a series of rejected spoonfuls. The via negativa of taste, repeated across thousands of services.
The same principle holds in career, in relationships, in every decision larger than “what's for lunch.” We don't know what we want until we taste something concrete — and feel whether the body says “more” or “enough.”
A small dose of reality
From the three mechanisms follows one operational rule you could write on the kitchen or the office wall:
„Before you make a big decision, acquire a small dose of experience.”
In menu: pop-up before remodel. In hiring: trial day before contract. In concept: a trial week before a three-year lease. In career: a spoonful, before the jar. In personal life: a weekend, before the move.
Taleb calls this “skin in the game on probation.” Damasio — “building somatic markers before commitment.” Loewenstein — “closing the hot/cold gap through experiential sampling.” It isn't triangulation — it's the same phenomenon viewed from three different sides.
One thing matters: the spoonful must be real. Not an imagined spoonful. Not a description of a spoonful. Not someone else's account of how the spoonful tastes. Only contact with your own palate generates data — only that activates a somatic marker, only that closes the hot/cold gap, only that enters the via negativa as a concrete “no, thank you.”
Conclusion
For eighteen years I'd been building the taste of caviar in my head. Though I'd never tried it, I held definite feelings toward it: aspirational, aspirational-anxious, occasionally jealous of those who said they “liked” it. One spoonful erased all of it. There is no longer a “I'd like to try caviar someday” in me. There is “I've tried, it's not mine.” That isn't a loss — it's order.
Seneca would say we suffer in imagination more than in reality. True. We also desire in imagination more than in reality. Both mechanisms are easiest to diagnose at the table — where the spoon delivers an answer immediately.
If something has been living in your head too long without confrontation with reality — take a spoonful.
Imagination won't give you the answer. The body will.
References
Damasio, A. R. (1994). Descartes' error: Emotion, reason, and the human brain. Putnam Publishing.
Loewenstein, G. (1996). Out of control: Visceral influences on behavior. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 65(3), 272–292.
Taleb, N. N. (2012). Antifragile: Things that gain from disorder. Random House.
Monday - Friday 9 -17
Shrewsbury
United Kingdom
07925603011
jan@baldconsulting.co.uk